CBOECboe Global Markets$300.74 2.25%·NEWSTrump National Emergency Before the Midterms? The Prediction…·RESEARCHPrediction markets are betting on natural disasters. Where do…·NEWSJoe Burrow Leads Kalshi Quarterback Market to Throw for Over…·NEWSAshley Moody becomes stronger Polymarket bet after Angie Nixon…·REGULATORYKalshi off-limits in multiple states as prediction markets,…·REGULATORYRep. Baumgartner pushes ban on wildfire gambling on Polymarket,…·NEWSGoogle information security engineer charged with using inside…·REGULATORYCME vs Kalshi: the prediction market fight that just went…·REGULATORYKalshi challenges WA ruling·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations -…·NEWSYordan Álvarez Extends AL MVP Lead on Kalshi Prediction Market·CBOECboe Global Markets$300.74 2.25%·NEWSTrump National Emergency Before the Midterms? The Prediction…·RESEARCHPrediction markets are betting on natural disasters. Where do…·NEWSJoe Burrow Leads Kalshi Quarterback Market to Throw for Over…·NEWSAshley Moody becomes stronger Polymarket bet after Angie Nixon…·REGULATORYKalshi off-limits in multiple states as prediction markets,…·REGULATORYRep. Baumgartner pushes ban on wildfire gambling on Polymarket,…·NEWSGoogle information security engineer charged with using inside…·REGULATORYCME vs Kalshi: the prediction market fight that just went…·REGULATORYKalshi challenges WA ruling·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations -…·NEWSYordan Álvarez Extends AL MVP Lead on Kalshi Prediction Market·
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US regulation

The only country that built a federal lane for prediction markets and then let fifty states argue with it. That argument is the whole story.

The state overlay, mapped

Hover or tap a state for its status and any wire stories that name it. 26 states currently have matched coverage.

Platforms winningIn courtWarning shotsNew rules / taxesNo tracked action
AlaskaHawaiiAlabamaArkansasArizonaCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDelawareFloridaGeorgiaIowaIdahoIllinoisIndianaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMassachusettsMarylandMaineMichiganMinnesotaMissouriMississippiMontanaNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaNebraskaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNevadaNew YorkOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth DakotaTennesseeTexasUtahVirginiaVermontWashingtonWisconsinWest VirginiaWyoming

Hover a state to see its regulatory posture and every wire story that mentions it. Click to pin.

Statuses tracked from the wire and public filings; not legal advice. Map outlines: react-usa-map (MIT).

The three-layer framework

Why the map looks the way it does: a federal lane (the CFTC) sitting over state law, with the fight concentrated in the middle layer.

US prediction markets operate inside three distinct layers:

Layer 1 · Federal foundation

The CFTC provides the bottom layer: nationwide approval in the US and the core standards. Structure, surveillance, disclosures, gaming limits.

Layer 2 · State overlay

States keep their own gambling laws, and state regulators argue many prediction markets infringe them. This is the layer where the court fights live.

Layer 3 · Market adaptation

Companies adapt on the surface, finding ways to stay legal, even if it means changing the product or fighting in court.

US regulatory wire — 395

Stories naming a US state, or carrying a federal signal — CFTC, SEC, Congress, the federal courts. A story covering both the US and elsewhere appears here and on the world page, because it is genuinely both.