CBOECboe Global Markets$300.74 2.25%·NEWSTrump National Emergency Before the Midterms? The Prediction…·RESEARCHPrediction markets are betting on natural disasters. Where do…·NEWSJoe Burrow Leads Kalshi Quarterback Market to Throw for Over…·NEWSAshley Moody becomes stronger Polymarket bet after Angie Nixon…·REGULATORYKalshi off-limits in multiple states as prediction markets,…·REGULATORYRep. Baumgartner pushes ban on wildfire gambling on Polymarket,…·NEWSGoogle information security engineer charged with using inside…·REGULATORYCME vs Kalshi: the prediction market fight that just went…·REGULATORYKalshi challenges WA ruling·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations -…·NEWSYordan Álvarez Extends AL MVP Lead on Kalshi Prediction Market·CBOECboe Global Markets$300.74 2.25%·NEWSTrump National Emergency Before the Midterms? The Prediction…·RESEARCHPrediction markets are betting on natural disasters. Where do…·NEWSJoe Burrow Leads Kalshi Quarterback Market to Throw for Over…·NEWSAshley Moody becomes stronger Polymarket bet after Angie Nixon…·REGULATORYKalshi off-limits in multiple states as prediction markets,…·REGULATORYRep. Baumgartner pushes ban on wildfire gambling on Polymarket,…·NEWSGoogle information security engineer charged with using inside…·REGULATORYCME vs Kalshi: the prediction market fight that just went…·REGULATORYKalshi challenges WA ruling·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations -…·NEWSYordan Álvarez Extends AL MVP Lead on Kalshi Prediction Market·
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Data sources

Every source we can pull prediction-market data from — what it gives, how you get it, and the specific way each one will mislead you. The last column is the one that took months to earn.

Sources
12
Free & keyless
11 of 12
Known traps logged
35
Verified
2026-08-20
The register
SourceAccessFormatMetricsBasisHistoryStatus
Artemis
aggregator
keyless
free
API
volume, openInterest, feesnotional963 days verified for Kalshi and Polymarket (2024-01-01 →); ~2,400 days available on volumelive
Kalshi public daily report
venue-native archive
keyless
free
Bulk download
volume, openInterest, high, low, settlementcontractsback to 2021-06-28live
Kalshi trade tape
venue-native
keyless
free
API
trades, prices, size, takerSidematchedcursor-paginated, recentlive
Kalshi events API
venue-native
keyless
free
API
markets, prices, openInterest, volumecontractscurrent onlylive
Polymarket Gamma API
venue-native
keyless
free
API
markets, prices, volume, liquiditymatchedcurrent, with volume windows (24h/1wk/1mo/1yr)live
Polymarket open interest (undocumented)
venue-native
keyless
free
API
openInterestusdNONE — current value onlylive
DefiLlama
aggregator
keyless
free
API
volume, feesmatchedmulti-yearlive
Dune Analytics
onchain + partner tables
keyed
paid tier for meaningful use
API
CSV
trades, fees, volume, combosmatchedfulllive
CFTC Part 16 public reports
regulator
keyless
free
CSV
HTML
volume, openInterestcontractslongunbuilt
Manifold
venue-native
keyless
free
API
markets, volumeplay-moneyfulllive
PM Atlas
aggregator
keyless
free
JS bundle
volume, mechanism, chain, fundingunknownnonelive
YouTube channel RSS
media
keyless
free
RSS
videosn/alast 15 itemsflaky
Known traps — 35 logged

Each of these cost real time or produced a wrong number before it was understood. Anyone can list endpoints; this is the part that does not come from documentation.

Artemis

PASSING A STALE KEY RETURNS 401. Passing NO key returns 200 with full data. We wrongly declared this source dead twice by testing with an expired key.

Trailing slash is required on the metric path or it 307s.

Without startDate/endDate it returns a single scalar, not a series.

COMPANY-NOT-PRODUCT TRAP: for any venue whose main business is a crypto exchange, the symbol returns the EXCHANGE's volume. cryptocom ($112.9B) is the spot exchange, not its prediction market (nadex/CDNA). Same for gemini, hyperliquid, drift. Including those four would have reported ~$245B instead of $111B for Q2. Check metadata.about.description before trusting any symbol.

Kalshi open interest reads ~$874M on a notional basis where our own priced figure is ~$110M — an 8x gap that is purely definitional, not an error in either.

Kalshi public daily report

~1.1 GB uncompressed per day. Cannot be JSON.parse'd — exceeds Node's max string. Must be streamed.

Volume and open interest are CONTRACT COUNTS, not dollars. Multiply by price for USD; never by a flat $1 unless you mean notional.

Carries only daily high/low, no per-trade price — so fees computed from it are per-market, not true row-level.

A market that did not trade has no high/low, so its open interest cannot be priced. Report the coverage rather than assuming a price.

Kalshi trade tape

min_ts/max_ts filtering returned empty in testing — ticker filtering works, time filtering did not.

Per-ticker only in practice, so a whole-day sweep is impractical. This is the row-level source the fee methodology wants, but only for targeted markets.

Kalshi events API

Use /events, NOT /markets — the flat /markets feed is dominated by MVE parlay shards (millions of rows, mostly zero open interest).

Fields are suffixed _fp (open_interest_fp, volume_fp) and arrive as strings.

Payload is large: ~2.6 MB per 100 events, which exceeds Next's 2 MB fetch-cache limit.

Polymarket Gamma API

89 fields but NO open interest — liquidity is order-book depth, which is a different thing.

Volume is native USD, so it is directly comparable to nothing on Kalshi without conversion.

Polymarket open interest (undocumented)

No history whatsoever. interval, startTs, fidelity, range and history params were all tried; every one returns the same single current value. There is no oi-history route.

Accepts a comma-separated market list, so per-market OI is one round trip — but repeated ?market= params silently return only the last one.

Reads ~24% below Artemis for the same venue and day ($359.5M vs $446.7M) — an unexplained basis gap worth resolving before either is published.

DefiLlama

Fee adapters embed the OLD Kalshi schedule (the one effective 4 Apr 2026) — so its fee figures lag schedule changes.

Uses a hardcoded flat 25/50/25 split as an ASSUMPTION, not a measurement, in at least one adapter. Treat its fee output as modelled, not measured.

Runs 2–4x below Artemis for the same venues because it reports matched rather than notional volume. Both are right; the basis differs.

Dune Analytics

kalshi.trade_report has FIVE columns and none of them is a fee. No measured Kalshi fee figure exists anywhere; every number in circulation is a modelled schedule.

EFFECTIVE-PRICE CORRECTION REQUIRED: (CASE WHEN price = 0 THEN 0.367 ELSE price + 0.45 END)/100.0 with price BETWEEN 0 AND 99. Omitting it drops sub-1c trades and HALVES combo notional ($46.6B → $26.9B).

polymarket_polygon.combo_trades_raw writes one row per side; taker shares are exactly half of all rows and fees appear only on taker rows. Verified arithmetically, not documented — treat as inferred.

Key lives in ~/Downloads/Pricedin/.env

CFTC Part 16 public reports

Not yet parsed. This is the dark-pool backstop — the only route to volumes for regulated venues that publish nothing themselves.

Hardest to build and the most defensible thing on the list. Nobody else in the sector does it.

Manifold

PLAY MONEY. Must never enter a dollar league table. Its volume is not comparable to anything else here.

Name collides with 'Manifold' the venture fund in our own investor data — this already caused a wrong-data bug on a venue profile.

PM Atlas

Self-reported free text, not measured. Preserve the raw claim verbatim and never promote it to measured.

Strict USD-only parsing required; contract-count claims must be excluded from dollar rankings.

YouTube channel RSS

~50% success rate. The SAME url returns 200 and 404 minutes apart, and behaves identically under a browser User-Agent, so it is not bot filtering.

Requires retry with widening backoff plus a last-good disk snapshot, or shows will blink in and out of the site.

The YouTube Data API key (free quota) is the robust upgrade and is still unclaimed.

Who publishes what
VenuePublishesWithholdsVerdict
KalshiDaily per-market volume, open interest, high/low back to 2021, plus a live trade tapeAny fee field, anywhere. Every Kalshi fee figure in existence is modelled.The most generous publisher in the sector, with one deliberate hole.
PolymarketMarkets, prices, volumes, and an undocumented open-interest endpoint. On-chain fees are measurable per transaction.Any open-interest history. Current value only, permanently.Rich on the present, blank on the past. History must be recorded live or it is gone.
Regulated US venues (ForecastEx, CDNA, Rothera, Railbird)Nothing directlyEverything voluntaryThe dark pool. Only reachable through CFTC Part 16 filings — free, public, and unparsed by anyone including us.
Sports exchanges (Novig, ProphetX, Sporttrade)No public API found at any obvious pathVolume, open interestUnprobed properly. Needs their docs or a browser network-tab session, not guessed URLs.

Every source we can pull prediction-market data from, what it gives, how you get it, and the specific way each one will mislead you. Access and status were re-tested on the verifiedOn date, not taken from memory.