CBOECboe Global Markets$300.74▲ 2.25%·NEWSTrump National Emergency Before the Midterms? The Prediction…·RESEARCHPrediction markets are betting on natural disasters. Where do…·NEWSJoe Burrow Leads Kalshi Quarterback Market to Throw for Over…·NEWSAshley Moody becomes stronger Polymarket bet after Angie Nixon…·REGULATORYKalshi off-limits in multiple states as prediction markets,…·REGULATORYRep. Baumgartner pushes ban on wildfire gambling on Polymarket,…·NEWSGoogle information security engineer charged with using inside…·REGULATORYCME vs Kalshi: the prediction market fight that just went…·REGULATORYKalshi challenges WA ruling·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations -…·NEWSYordan Álvarez Extends AL MVP Lead on Kalshi Prediction Market·CBOECboe Global Markets$300.74▲ 2.25%·NEWSTrump National Emergency Before the Midterms? The Prediction…·RESEARCHPrediction markets are betting on natural disasters. Where do…·NEWSJoe Burrow Leads Kalshi Quarterback Market to Throw for Over…·NEWSAshley Moody becomes stronger Polymarket bet after Angie Nixon…·REGULATORYKalshi off-limits in multiple states as prediction markets,…·REGULATORYRep. Baumgartner pushes ban on wildfire gambling on Polymarket,…·NEWSGoogle information security engineer charged with using inside…·REGULATORYCME vs Kalshi: the prediction market fight that just went…·REGULATORYKalshi challenges WA ruling·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations·NEWSKalshi pushes back against order to halt most WA operations -…·NEWSYordan Álvarez Extends AL MVP Lead on Kalshi Prediction Market·
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Reads

The essential reading list for prediction markets — theory, analysis, critique, and research.

⌕
45 articles
01
LandscapePM Theory
Prediction Markets: A World Truth Engine in Beta
23 Oct 2025Read →
02
PolymarketOnchain & DeFi
Meet Your Market Maker
11 Oct 2025Read →
03
LandscapePM Theory
Speculation Nation
1 Oct 2025Read →
04
FundamentalsOnchain & DeFi
Technical Typology of Prediction Markets
14 Sept 2025Read →
05
Sports BettingFundamentals
Sports Betting (The OG prediction markets)
4 Sept 2025Read →
06
Onchain & DeFiPM Theory
Opportunity Markets
18 Aug 2025Read →
07
CritiquePM Theory
Predicting our own demise
17 Aug 2025Read →
08
Landscape
The Cambrian Explosion of Prediction Markets
9 Aug 2025Read →
09
Onchain & DeFiPolymarket
From AMM to Order Book: Interpreting the Shift in Polymarket's Pricing Mechanism
9 Aug 2025Read →
10
Landscape
Next Gen Prediction Markets
6 Aug 2025Read →
11
Onchain & DeFi
Many prediction markets would be better off as batched auctions
2 Aug 2025Read →
12
Landscape
Prediction Markets GTM Approaches
31 Jul 2025Read →
13
Onchain & DeFi
Prediction Markets: the Oracle Problem is not the problem
29 Jul 2025Read →
14
Landscape
The TikTok Moment for Prediction Markets
24 Jul 2025Read →
15
PolymarketLandscape
Thoughts on Polymarket Network Effects
24 Jul 2025Read →
16
Onchain & DeFiSports Betting
How to Offer Prediction Market Parlays without Fragmenting Liquidity
18 Jul 2025Read →
17
Onchain & DeFi
The Risk Behind Arbitrage in Prediction Markets
23 May 2025Read →
18
Landscape
The Future of Prediction Market: A Web3 Social Media Revolution
14 Apr 2025Read →
19
Critique
Prediction Markets Are Mediocre
5 Apr 2025Read →
20
PoliticsPM Theory
Will Jesus Christ return in an election year?
25 Mar 2025Read →
21
PolymarketResearch
How Accurate is Polymarket?
20 Mar 2025Read →
22
Onchain & DeFiPM Theory
The State of Onchain Futarchy
17 Mar 2025Read →
23
Landscape
10 Predictions about Prediction Markets
29 Jan 2025Read →
24
Critique
Why Prediction Markets Are Broken (And How to Fix Them)
9 Jan 2025Read →
25
Critique
Why do I think prediction markets won't scale?
14 Dec 2024Read →
26
LandscapePM Theory
Prediction markets and beyond
21 Nov 2024Read →
27
FundamentalsLandscape
Gate Research: An Overview of Prediction Markets
14 Nov 2024Read →
28
PM Theory
From prediction markets to info finance
9 Nov 2024Read →
29
PoliticsCritique
PREDICTION MARKETS (II): Spoiling the Election Love Story
2 Nov 2024Read →
30
LandscapePM Theory
Financialisation of Social Networks
23 Oct 2024Read →
31
PolymarketPolitics
My Polymarket Conspiracy Theory
19 Oct 2024Read →
32
PM TheoryResearch
Crypto Prediction Markets
11 Oct 2024Read →
33
PolymarketLandscape
Unveiling Polymarket: The Positioning, Expansion, and Shadows of Crypto Prediction Markets
8 Oct 2024Read →
34
PolymarketLandscape
Polymarket and the Proliferation of Prediction Markets
4 Oct 2024Read →
35
FundamentalsPM Theory
The Art of Forecasting
30 Sept 2024Read →
36
PolymarketPolitics
Polymarket: An Election-Driven Success Story
21 Aug 2024Read →
37
PolymarketCritique
Polymarket Settles Bet Against its Own Rules
8 Aug 2024Read →
38
FundamentalsCritique
Why prediction markets aren't popular
17 May 2024Read →
39
Onchain & DeFi
Deep Dive #8 | Decentralized Prediction Markets
23 Feb 2024Read →
40
Fundamentals
Prediction Markets Explained
4 Feb 2024Read →
41
FundamentalsResearch
Analysis of Prediction Markets in Crypto
1 Jan 2024Read →
42
Onchain & DeFiSports BettingResearch
Onchain Sports Betting using UBET Automated Market Maker
21 Sept 2023Read →
43
Onchain & DeFiResearch
Self-Resolving Prediction Markets for Unverifiable Outcomes
2 Jun 2023
44
FundamentalsPM Theory
Should Prediction Markets be Charities?
12 Dec 2006Read →
45
FundamentalsResearch
Mechanisms for Prediction Markets
Read →
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